tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9446784.post115772984641404084..comments2008-11-13T12:53:51.208-08:00TI Mavenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09995690143891439831noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9446784.post-1158083802151328222006-09-12T10:56:00.000-07:002006-09-12T10:56:00.000-07:00Try not to focus on the one day and focus on the big picture. The Odds Maker is not a green light buy and red light sell. It simply gives you a numeric feedback of what has taken place. In terms of your concern one can state the opposite. You have a strong rally day like today, it is dangerous to assume that the rally is going to continue into tomorrow. But the beauty of the Odds Maker is tomorrow you will see how the rally affected the Odds. In general, you should have two tested strategies going at all time, one for longs and one for shorts. What you will find is that even on days like today the odds still tend to hold up. Just because the Dow or Nas is doing something does not mean that every stocks is doing it. What the Odds Maker really does is help you isolate behavior patterns that tend to repeat, rather than to predict the future. It has no bias toward up days, down days or reversals. When you see stock come across a window that has been tested you as a trader still have to make the ultimate decision. For illustration purposes we will take your comment as an example. Tomorrow we will post a short strategy that today had a certain % and see how the rally affected the percentages. It should be interestsing.TI Mavenhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09995690143891439831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9446784.post-1158081766251780622006-09-12T10:22:00.000-07:002006-09-12T10:22:00.000-07:00today's strong up move and near universal surge in stock prices exemplifies why the strategies built upon testing from the latest 3 weeks of data is potentially extremely dangerous. you've been saying long strategies have been horrible lately, and they have, so if people have been building strategies since the release of Odds Maker, they invariable have been finding short systems the best. but the market goes in cycles, so if the last 3 weeks have been great for Short strategies, you concentrate on finding those that test well, you can surely bet a day like today is coming, without you having many long strategies tested out.edeebhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08604772219347633679noreply@blogger.com