Thursday, June 28, 2012

Short Term is The New Long Term

Short Term is The New Long Term

"I speak with retail investors every day and I can tell you that more than ever, they believe that the stock market is a casino for the large and well-connected investors," said Mitch Goldberg, ClientFirst Strategy in Woodbury, NY. ("Is the Buy & Hold Stock Strategy Officially Dead?" - Yahoo Finance)

The truth of the matter is that those with better information do better. "Buy and Hold" has actually never worked. Yeah that sounds crazy right? Well it happens to be true.  Here is one simple fact of Wall St. that most investors don't understand. The concept of buy and hold has been taught like religion by people who want to collect fees managing your money. Some money managers are able to do a very good job.  In fact I have a good portion of my assets being managed by professional money managers. My money managers never buy and hold. There is constantly a re-balancing that is taking place where the weak positions are replaced by the strong as new information is digested by the portfolio.

You will hear people say something like, "look at the Dow Jones 30 if you just held those stocks instead of getting in and out you would have been okay." Well, there are number of issues including the 10 + year stretches where it does nothing or declines. But one of the biggest missed things is the simple fact that stocks are moved in and out of indexes all the time. This happens in the S&P, Dow, and all indexes so you just can't  just buy stocks and hope for the best. You can buy an index which is different than a stock but buying a stock and just holding is a terrible idea.

So we are back to the casino from the first paragraph. If you know you are in a casino, the best that you can do in one is to have a card counting machine.  A decision assistance engine that tells you when the odds are stacked the most in your favor. That is what we do at Trade Ideas with the OddsMaker. It is literally your own personal card counting machine.  So next time you think about playing a stock in one direction or another at least know what the odds are that you are going to be right. There are no guarantees, but with Trade Ideas and the OddsMaker it is the best you can do with today's technology.

To download Trade Ideas and subscribe, or try the Free Trial, visit the Trade-Ideas product application download page.

Saturday, June 02, 2012

Your Invitation to Join Trade Ideas at SIFMA 2012 in NYC

Trade Ideas will be exhibiting at the 2012 SIFMA Tech Leaders Forum June 19 - 21.  It is a conference reserved for thought leaders in financial technology.  The program contains speakers and exhibitors from every aspect of the financial industry - from regulators to social media to data visualization.  We will be speaking at the conference and exhibiting next to NASDAQ OMX with whom we are promoting our existing partnership with their pre-order data feed called Velocity and Forces.  We will also be discussing what future innovation will be coming from this partnership.

Velocity and Forces inside Trade Ideas
We would like to invite you to join us at the conference.

Trade Ideas has a limited number of free Expo passes to give in order to attend the Exhibit Hall featuring over 140 companies as well as exclusive Sponsor Solution Centers, the Expo Theater and complimentary coffee in our Cyber CafĂ©.  Your Expo Pass does not provide access to the Leaders Forum - separate registration is required. Registration otherwise for non-SIFMA members for just the Exhibit Hall is $99.

The exhibit hall is open from 9 a.m. – 7:30 p.m. on Tuesday, June 19th.  At 6 p.m. the cocktail reception with the Battle of the Bands (Joseph Lalicata and The Wall Street Orchestra, Direct Edge Inc. - D'Edge Band, and Rational Exuberancecommences in the Grand Ballroom.  

The exhibit hall is open from 9 a.m. – 6 p.m. on Wednesday, June 20th.  Special Guest Speaker, Eli Manning, will be in the Grand Ballroom during the reception (4 – 6 p.m.)

Can you attend?  

If so please use this link  Once registered, you will receive a confirmation email with a bar code.  The email should be retained and used for check in on-site at the Hilton Hotel (2nd Floor promenade).  Check in kiosks will recognize the unique bar codes and will produce a badge for you instantaneously.

Let us know you are coming!